Are You Ready for some iPhone?

I think I now understand how football "experts" feel the week of the Super Bowl. All of them weigh in with their opinions about which team will win the big game, keys to success, and other observations that could impact the outcome of the game. For marketing experts, the launch of Apple's iPhone this week has a similar atmosphere surrounding it.

Depending on which experts you wish to believe, the iPhone will revolutionize the wireless industry and add $10 billion in reveunes for Apple, or it will serve as a humbling experience for the same company that gave us the Newton. I believe conditions are favorable for the iPhone to succeed, but there are three keys to success that must be met:

1.The user experience must be positive. One of the reasons iPod has been a smash is it is easy to use. If users can learn to perform the multiple tasks of the iPhone with ease, they are much likely to sing the iPhone's praises to others and serve as unofficial buzz agents by giving demos to people in their network. The multiple uses of the iPhone are irrelevant if owners perceive it's too hard to use.

2.Behavior modification is necessary. Consumers must go from thinking in terms of specialized devices to generalized devices. We have been conditioned to shop for separate devices to serve our needs for wireless phone, camera, music player, and mobile email. Now, we're being told that a single device can do all of these things. Accepting a generalized device involves making trade-offs in performance as you can buy specialized devices that do each of the tasks better than an iPhone. The iPhone's promise is one of simplifying our electronic gadget needs!

3.Customer support will be crucial. Service at point-of-sale and post-purchase will be influential in determining whether the iPhone succeeds. This key has a twist in that this is not up to Apple alone. AT&T will be a key partner in educating consumers about the iPhone and keeping them satisfied when product or service failure occurs. Conumers want a seemless experience; they don't care which partner's part of the offering is at fault. If they purchase an iPhone at an AT&T store, they will expect support there. If they contact Apple with a problem that is technically a phone service issue, they're going to expect Apple to provide assistance.

So, for all of the hype surrounding the Apple iPhone the bottom line is that if consumers see value in the iPhone, that it adds to their quality of life in some way (e.g., adds enjoyment, creates convenience, or enhances image),the iPhone will likely succeed.

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